They say the numbers don’t lie. They also say the numbers tell the story you want them to. If Lance Armstrong opts for arbitration, experts will strenuously argue both sides of this same coin. As it should be, I suppose. The truth is out there somewhere.
This is from Armstrong’s published blood values, which he apparently put online himself.
You can also see the table in jpg form at this link (which will probably work better than the embedded image above): http://cdn-community2.livestrong.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/9/10/c981f7be-e46c-4245-aa9d-d61ae110a264.Full.jpg.
A “blood researcher” named Jakob Mørkebjerg looked over these figures. In an article (written in
Dutch Danish) Mr Mørkebjerg says, “If you look directly at his values, they are below the limits they should. As a layman will therefore only be able to see that they are where they should. If you have a little more knowledge, you will see a pattern that differs from a normal pattern.” http://www.dr.dk/Sporten/Cykling/2009/09/03/111604.htm (as translated, horribly, by google).
Mr. Mørkebjerg also spoke with the fine folks at Velocity Nation (which used to be NYVelo). This second article (thank god) is in the King’s English.
I’m just saying that the first value and the last value are almost equal, and that the decrease you would expect is beyond the margin of variance for those numbers. That’s the take home message.
. . . If you’re not doing strenuous exercise, you wouldn’t expect these values to change. You would expect these small variations that you see, but the reason I’m saying these values are suspicious is that he’s doing strenuous exercise, and then you would expect to see a decrease, as you see in his values during the Giro. That’s what’s suspicious. http://velocitynation.com/content/interviews/2009/armstrongs-bio-passport-critic-speaks.
This is all old news. The articles I’ve quoted are from years past. I began writing this post back on 7/24/2010. It’s been that long. Fast forward to the present day, and all of this is in the news again. The Captain (whom I am becoming a fan of) broke it down this week on his blog as only he can:
in the giro
yuh might fuggin notice
the hgb starts high n fuggin drops
where fuggin as
dips bounces up
n if yuh correlate with the reticlyctes
stuck at their lowest point in the fuggin year
its clear as day
fer the tdf
prior tonthe [sic] start
then 2 more times during the race
I don’t know much, admittedly, about such matters. And you can find arguments out on the web going both ways. But, really, these data points certainly suggest something is/was seriously amiss.
Tick, tick, tick…by